Date, Place of Birth: 3 February 1953, Montreal, Canada

Nationality: UK and Canada

Family Status: Married (Dr. Edwina Moreton), one daughter (born 1988)

Address: International Institute for Strategic Studies

23 Tavistock St., London WC2E 7NQ, UK.

Tel: 44171-379-7676. Fax:44171-836-3108




Current Employment:

Director of Studies (from 1 September 1997) at the International Institute for Strategic Studies responsible for design of the research programme, fundraising, and supervision of research. Concurrently editor of the Adelphi Paper monograph series.

Director of the UK Economic and Social Research Council's Pacific Asia Programme (from April 1994).


Current Additional Activities:

Co-founder, Co-chairman, and host of the Secretariat of the European Council for Security Cooperation in Asia-Pacific (ECSCAP). From September 1994 to September 1997. Currently still host of the Secretariat.

Co-founder and host of the European Secretariat of the Council for Asia-Europe Co-operation (CAEC). From May 1996.

Forum Fellow at the World Economic Forum (Davos) from 1995.

"External Assessor" of the UK Open University’s forthcoming multimedia learning programme on Asia-Pacific. Began 1996, the course begins in 1998.




International Institute for Strategic Studies, Senior Fellow responsible for Asian security (September 1991-August 1997). From September 1996 also editor of Adelphi Papers series.

Royal Institute of International Affairs, Senior Research Fellow directing a project on comparative foreign policy reform in communist states. August 1988-September 1991.

The Pacific Review, founder (in January 1987) and Editor of a quarterly journal published by Oxford University Press and then Routledge from 1993. 'Retired' by personal choice and handed over to new editor in January 1995.

University of Bristol, Department of Politics: Reader: August 1989-September 1991,

Lecturer: April 1984-July 1989.

University of Leicester, Department of Politics: Lecturer: October 1981-March 1984

University College of Wales, Aberystwyth. Department of International Politics: Lecturer: October 1979-September 1981


London School of Economics, 1975-79. Ph.D. Topic: "From Bipolarity to the Great Power Triangle: Moscow, Peking, Washington, 1961-68".

Hebrew University of Jerusalem, 1971-75. B.A. (Highest Distinction)

Major: International Politics. Minor: Political Science, Asian Studies

Professional Membership






The Great Power Triangle. (London: Macmillan, 1982)

Defending China. (London: Oxford University Press, 1985)

Le Dialogue Moscou-Pekin Depuis Mao. (Paris, Editions Bosquet, a revised and translated version of my Adelphi Paper No. 202. 1987)

The Guide to the World Today. (London: Simon & Schuster, 1987, second edition, 1988)

Rethinking the Pacific. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1990)

The Soviet Union and the Pacific. (London: Unwin/Hyman, 1990)

The World Affairs Companion. (London: Simon & Schuster, 1991, 1993, 1996)

The Fate of Hong Kong. (London: Simon & Schuster, 1993. Translated into Japanese and published by Dobunshoin International, Tokyo)


Nuclear War and Nuclear Peace. (London: Macmillan, 1983, second edition, 1988)

China and the Arms Trade. (London: Croom Helm, 1985)

China Without Deng Xiaoping. (Melbourne and New York: ETT, 1995. Also published on the Internet on the day of Deng's death in 1997 by China News Digest)

Anticipating the Future. (London: Simon & Schuster, 1998)

Editor and contributor:

The China Factor. (London: Croom Helm, 1982)

The Soviet Union and East Asia. (For the Royal Institute of International Affairs, London: Heinemann, 1983)

Arms Control in Asia. (London: Macmillan, 1987)

The Political and Economic Encyclopaedia of the Pacific. (London: Longman, 1989)

China's Reforms in Crisis. (London: Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1989)

Chinese Politics and Foreign Policy Reform. (London: Kegan Paul International for the RIIA, 1990)

Openness and Foreign Policy Reform in Communist States. (London: Routledge for the RIIA, 1992)


Co-editor and contributor:

Soviet Strategy. (London: Croom Helm, 1981)

Soviet Strategy Towards Western Europe. (London: George Allen and Unwin, 1984)

Chinese Defence Policy. (London: Macmillan, 1984)

China at Forty. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989)

China in the Nineties. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1991)

China Deconstructs. (London: Routledge, 1994)

China’s Economic Reforms: the Security Dimension. (London: Routledge, 1996)

China Rising: Nationalism and Interdependence. (London: Routledge, 1997)

Europe and Asia. (London: Routledge, 1998)


The Soviet Threat at China's Gates, Institute for the Study of Conflict. Conflict Papers. No.143, January 1983.

Sino-Soviet Relations after Mao, International Institute for Strategic Studies. Adelphi Papers No. 202. 1985.

"Modernising Foreign Policy" in The China Challenge. Chatham House Papers, No. 32, 1986. (Translated (illegally) in to Chinese and published by Zhongguo Huaqiao chubanshe in Beijing in 1990).

New Directions in Strategic Studies, (edited) for Chatham House Discussion Papers, No.17, 1989.

"Foreign Policy" in China in Crisis, Chatham House Discussion Papers, No.20, 1989.

Normalising Soviet-Japanese Relations, Chatham House Special Papers, April 1991.

China Changes Shape, International Institute for Strategic Studies. Adelphi Paper No. 287, 1994.

Journal Articles:

"Chinese Politics and the Soviet Connection". The Jerusalem Journal of International Relations. Vol.2, No.1, Autumn 1976.

"The Chinese Army and Professionalism". (with Ellis Joffe) Problems of Communism. November-December 1978.

"Card Playing in International Relations: The United States and the Great Power Triangle". Millenium. Vol.8, No.3, Winter 1979-80.

"China and the Great Power Triangle". The China Quarterly. No.83, September 1980.

"China's Strategic Posture and the Great Power Triangle". Pacific Affairs. Vol.53, No.4, Winter 1980-81.

"China's Nuclear Posture: Planning for the 1980's". Survival. Vol.23, No.1, January-February 1981. (Reprinted in Robert O'Neill ed, Security in East Asia. (London: Gower, 1984)

"Israeli Arms for China: Wishful Thinking?". Soviet-Jewish Affairs. Vol.11, No.2, 1981.

"Chinese Foreign Policy Decision Making: The Military’s Role". International Affairs. Vol.57, No.3, Summer 1981.

"China and Afghanistan". Asian Survey. Vol.21, No.11, November 1981.

"China's Security Debate". Survival. Vol.24, No.2, March- April 1982. (Reprinted in Robert O'Neill ed, Security in East Asia. (London: Gower, 1984).

"Whither Chinese Foreign Policy". Contemporary Review. December 1982.

"Chinese Defence Policy (review article)". International Affairs. Vol.59, No.4, Autumn 1983.

"Strategy and Ethnic-chic". International Affairs. Vol.60, No.1, Winter 1983-4.

"Towards Sino-Soviet Detente". The World Today. May 1984. (translated into Arabic for International Politics (Cairo), October 1984.

"China and Arms Control". The World Today. August 1985. Translated and reprinted in Sommaire Extreme Orient, August 1986.

"Lawrence on Strategic Studies". Review of International Studies. Summer 1985.

"Defence Culture and Sino-Soviet Relations". Journal of Strategic Studies. Summer 1985.

"Sino-Soviet Detente: The Long and Winding Road". Journal of Communist Studies. Summer 1985.

"The PLA Under Modern Conditions" (with Ellis Joffe). Survival. July-August 1985.

"China and the Arms Trade" (with Anne Gilks). Arms Control. September 1985.

"Sri Lanka and Indian Ocean Strategy" (with James Manor). Asian Survey. December 1985.

"Europe, China, and the Soviet "Threat", Issues and Studies Vol.22, No.2, February 1986. Also in Yu-ming Shaw ed., China and Europe (Taipei: Institute of International Relations, 1986).

"Nuclear Strategy: The Geography of Stability" Political Geography Quarterly Supplement to Vol. 5 No.4, October 1986.

"Coping with the Soviet Union: The European and Chinese Experience". Review of International Studies. Vol.12, No.4, October 1986.

"Sino-Soviet Detente: How Far, How Fast?" The World Today May 1987.

"China and Israel". SAIS Review. Vol.7 No.2, 1987.

"Arms Control in Asia". Arms Control. May 1987.

"The Soviet Union and the Pacific Century". Journal of Communist Studies, December 1987.

"The USSR and Asia in 1987". Asian Survey, January 1988.

"China and Japan". RUSI Yearbook 1988, (London: RUSI, 1988).

"As China Grows Strong". International Affairs, Spring 1988. (reprinted in Copenhagen Papers No.2, 1988 (Copenhagen: Centre for East and Southeast Asian Studies, 1988).

"Sino-Soviet Relations: The New Agenda". The World Today, June 1988. (Translated into Japanese and reprinted in Nomura Search No.9, September 1988)

"USSR in Asia in 1988". Asian Survey Vol.29 No.1. January 1989.

"The Right Way to Think About the Pacific". Relazioni Internazionali March 1989.

"Taking Sino-Soviet Détente Seriously", The Washington Quarterly, May 1989.

"Informal Arms Control: The Asian Road to Conventional Reductions", Arms Control Today May 1989.

"Pacific Arms Control". Arms Control Bulletin, June 1989.

"Lao Repressione degli Studenti in Cina" in Nuova Antologia No. 2171, August-September 1989.

"China, the Pacific, and the Balance of Power". The Jerusalem Journal of International Relations Vol.15, No.3, September 1989.

"East Asia: New Balances of Power". World Policy Journal Autumn 1989.

"The New Soviet Maritime Strategy in the Pacific". Naval Forces. No.6, 1989.

"Northeast Asia: All Aboard the Détente Train?". The World Today. March 1990.

"Japan and the New International Relations", Japan Forum, April 1990.

"China after Tiananmen", Asian Affairs, June 1990.

"Rethinking the Pacific", Review of International Studies, July 1990.

"Why Communist Armies Defend Their Parties", (with John Phipps), Asian Survey, October 1990.

"The Challenges to Chinese Foreign Policy", Asian Affairs, October 1990.

"Un-area proiettata verso il XXI secolo", Politica Internazionale, October 1990.

"Reforming Soviet Asian Policy", The Oxford International Review, October 1990.

"Ending the Cold War", Diplomacy and Statecraft, November 1990 (reprinted in David Armstrong ed., The End of the Cold War (London: Gower, 1990).

"Soviet Options in the Pacific", Civilisations Vol.XL No.1, 1991.

"Gorbachev in Japan", The World Today, April 1991.

"Canada, Britain and Hong Kong", The Round Table, July 1991.

"A New Agenda for Northeast Asia", Arms Control Today, September 1991.

"Northeast Asia: Common Security or a la carte", International Affairs, October 1991.

"China and Africa", The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, January 1992.

"Opening and Dividing China", The World Today, May 1992.

"Managing New Arms Races in Asia/Pacific", The Washington Quarterly Summer 1992. (Reprinted in Brad Roberts ed., U.S. Security in an Uncertain Era. Cambridge MA: MIT Press, 1993).

"China and the Disintegration of the Soviet Union", Asian Survey, September 1992.

"Asie de l"Est: Nouveau Paysage Strategique", Politique Etrangere, No.3, 1992.

"The Consequences of Arms Proliferation in Asia", Adelphi Paper No. 276, April 1993.

"The Difficult Post-Yalta Thaw", Cooperazione No. 124, April 1993.

"The Coming Confrontation Between China and Japan?", World Policy Journal No.2, Summer 1993.

"Keeping East Asia pacific", The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis No.1, Summer 1993.

"A Clearer Fate for Hong Kong", The World Today, February 1994.

"China Changes Shape", Foreign Affairs, May 1994.

"Rethinking East Asian Security" (with Barry Buzan), Survival, Summer 1994.

"China: Arms Transfer Policies and Practices", Contemporary Security Policy Vol. 15 No.2, August 1994.

"Nuclear Forces in Northeast Asia", The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Winter 1994.

"Asians in Cyberia", The Washington Quarterly, Summer 1995.

"Tying China into the International System", Survival, Summer 1995.

"What is Asian About Asian Security", The National Interest, Winter 1995.

"East Asia and the ‘Constrainment’ of China", International Security, Spring 1996.

"The Giant Wakes", Harvard International Review, Spring 1996.

"The Rise of "Lite" Power" (with Barry Buzan), World Policy Journal Vol.13 No.3, Fall 1996.

"The "Pander Complex" Gets the Tea Leaves Wrong", The World Today March 1997.

"Getting Serious About Asia-Europe Security Cooperation" (with Dong Ik Shin), Survival Vol.39 No.1, Spring 1997.

"Thinking Strategically About ASEM", The Pacific Review No.1, 1997.

"How Insecure is Pacific Asia?" International Affairs Vol. 73 No.2, April 1997. (Reprinted in Werner Kalterfleiter and Ulrike Schumacher eds, The Rise of a Multipolar World. (Frankfurt: Peter Lang, 1998).

"The Westernistic Era" (with Barry Buzan), Prospect February 1998.

"Asia and Europe: Societies in Transition" a rapporteur's report for a British Council conference, Societies in Transition: Asia and Europe at a Moment of Change. Published on 2 April 1998 and submitted to the Asia Europe heads of government meeting in London on 3-4 April 1998.

"Taking India Seriously" (with James Manor), Survival Vol.40 No.2, Summer 1998.

Articles contributed to edited books:

"The Soviet Union" in Christopher Pick ed., What's What in the 1980s. (London: Europa, 1982)

"The Military as a Group in Chinese Politics", in David Goodman ed., Groups and Politics in the People's Republic of China. (Cardiff: University of Wales Press, 1984)

"China", in Martin Edmonds ed., Central Organizations for Defence. (Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, 1985). Translated and reprinted in Strategia Globale, Winter 1984-5.

"Sino-Soviet Relations" in Douglas Stuart ed, Security in East Asia (London: Gower for the IISS, 1987).

"The Soviet Union in East Asia" in Michael Leifer ed., The Asian Balance (London: Macmillan for the RUSI, 1986).

"Strategic Defence and International Security" in Carl Jacobsen ed., The Uncertain Course. (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1987).

"China's Coming Generation" in The World in 1988 (London: The Economist Intelligence Unit, 1987)

"The Soviet Union and the Pacific" in A Turning Point in International Affairs, (Tokyo: International Symposium, 1987).

"Asia and the Pacific" in Peter Byrd ed., British Foreign Policy in the Thatcher Years (London: Philip Allan, 1988).

"China, Japan and ATBMs" in Donald Hafner and John Roper eds., ATBMs and Western Security (Cambridge: Ballinger, for the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 1988).

"China and the Superpowers" in Robert Benewick and Paul Wingrove eds., Reforming the Revolution (London: Macmillan, 1988).

"The Future of the People's Liberation Army" in China in Crisis (London: Jane's Special report, 1989).

"Soviet Options in the Pacific" in Susan Clark ed, Gorbachev's Agenda (Boulder: Westview, 1989).

"The PLA and the Peking Massacre" in Richard Yang ed, PLA and the Tiananmen Crisis (Kaohsiung, Taiwan: National Sun Yat-sen University, 1989).

"Chinese Strategy to the Year 2000" in SCPS Yearbook on PLA Affairs (Kaohsiung: Sun Yat-sen Center, 1990).

"The Soviet Union and Asia" in Robert Taylor ed., Asia and the Pacific (N.Y.: Facts on File, 1991).

"China" in Regina Cowen Karp ed., Security Without Nuclear Weapons? (Oxford: Oxford University Press for SIPRI, 1991).

"The Far East and the Pacific" in Alex Pravda ed., Yearbook of Soviet Foreign Relations (London: I.B. Tauris, 1991).

"International Relations and Democratic Transition" in Geoffrey Pridham ed, Encouraging Democracy Leicester: Leicester University Press, 1991).

"The Soviet Union and the Pacific" in Peter Drsdale ed, The Soviets and the Pacific Challenge (Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1991).

"The Challenge to Chinese Foreign Policy" in Stuart Harris and James Cotton eds., The End of the Cold War in Northeast Asia (Melbourne: Longman Cheshire, 1991).

"The Strategic Triangle Revisited" in William Tow ed., Building Sino-American Relations (N.Y.: Paragon House, 1991).

"Pechino di fronte alle nuove sfide internazionali" in Marta Dassu and Tony Saich ed., La Cina di Deng Xiaoping (Roma: Edizioni Associate, 1991). Also published as "The Challenge to Chinese Foreign Policy" in The Reform Decade in China edited by Dassu and Saich (London: Kegan Paul International, 1992).

"A Pacific Century?" in John Baylis and N.J. Rengger eds., Dilemmas of World Politics, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1992).

"Openness: Linking Foreign and Domestic Policy Reform" in Gilbert Rozman ed. (with Seizaburo Sato and Gerald Segal), Dismantling Communism (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1992).

"Soviet Perceptions" in Leslie Palmier ed., Detente in Asia (London: Macmillan, 1992).

"Europe and Asian Pacific Security" in T.B. Millar and James Walter eds., Asia-Pacific Security After the Cold War (London: Centre for Australian Studies, 1992).

"China and the Disintegration of the Soviet Union" in Richard Yang ed., China's Military: The PLA in 1992-93 (Boulder: Westview Press, 1993).

"Adjusting to the New International Order" in Ron Matthews and Keisuke Matsuyama eds, Japan's Military Renaissance? (N.Y.: St. Martin's Press, 1993).

"Russia as an Asia-Pacific Power" in Ramesh Thakur and Carlyle Thayer eds., Reshaping Regional Relations (Boulder: Westview, 1993).

"Sino-Soviet Relations" in Joel Krieger ed., The Oxford Companion to Politics of the World (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1993).

"Northeast Asia" in Robert Jackson and Alan James eds., States in a Changing World (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1993).

"China's Recovery From Defeat in 1979" in George Andreopoulos and Harold Selesky eds., The Aftermath of Defeat (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1994).

"Thinking Strategically About ASEM in Francois Godement ed, Europe-Asia: Renforcer le dialogue informel (Paris: IFRI, 1997).

"Enlitening China" in Denny Roy ed, The New Security Agenda in the Asia-Pacific Region (Macmillan, 1997).

"China" in Andrew Pierre ed, Cascade of Arms (Washington: Brookings, 1997).

"The Asia-Pacific: What Kind of Challenge?" in Anthony McGrew and Christopher Brook, Asia-Pacific in the New World Order (London: Routledge, 1998).


17 May 1998